A comprehensive comparison of various surface subsidence prediction methods was carried out. Finally, the probabilistic integration method was used to predict and analyze the surface deformation of ZC10193 working face in Etuoke Coal Mine. By consulting the literature, it was determined that when the surface building was a brick-concrete structure, the respective deformation values of the primary protection standard were required to have an inclination value of 3.0 mm/m or less and a curvature value of 0.2×10-3·m-1 or less. The horizontal deformation value was less than or equal to 2.0 mm/m, the distortion value was 0.1×10-3·m-1, and the shear deformation was less than or equal to 1 mm/m. The MATLAB software was used to predict the surface deformation after strip mining, and the maximum sinking value was 1.01 m, the maximum tilt value 0.392 2 mm/m, the maximum curvature value 0.004 2×10-3·m-1, the maximum distortion value 0.005 9×10-3·m-1, the maximum horizontal deformation value 0.280 6 mm/m, and the maximum shear value 0.302 7 mm/m. Comparing the maximum sinking value and the primary protection standard value, the tilt value was 2.607 8 mm/m, the curvature value was smaller than 0.195 8×10-3·m-1, and the distortion value was 0.094 1×10-3·m-1, the horizontal deformation value was 1.719 4 mm/m, and the shear value 0.697 3 mm/m. It could be concluded that the post-harvest industrial square can guarantee safe operation.