|
|
|
| Research on prediction method of mine pressure data based on depth time series model xLSTM-Informer |
| Wang Yongsheng1, Cui Zhiying2, Zhao Liang2, Dong Wenzhe2, Zhao Wenguang2 |
1. School of Energy and Mining Engineering, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266590, China;
2.Liuhuanggou Mine, Yankuang Xinjiang Mining Co., Ltd., Changji 831100, China |
|
|
|
|
Abstract Aiming at the prediction problem caused by the strong nonlinearity and long distance dependence of mine pressure time series data, this paper proposed an xLSTM-Infomer prediction method that combined extended long short term memory network ( xLSTM ) and long sequence prediction model ( Informer ). Compared with the traditional single model, this model used the ability of xLSTM to capture local dynamic features finely, and combined the characteristics of Informer 's global long distance dependence and efficient modeling to realize the long-term prediction of the evolution law of mine pressure. In order to verify the prediction ability of the model, this paper took the inclined thick coal seam working face of Liuhuanggou Coal Mine in Xinjiang as the background to predict the mine pressure data of the working face. The experimental results showed that compared with the benchmark models such as LSTM and Informer, the prediction performance of the model established in this paper was higher. The determination coefficient (R2) of the prediction results of different parts was above 93%, and the highest R2 reached 98.21%. Compared with the comparison model, the indexes of MAE and RMSE were also at the lowest level, and the model could also show higher prediction accuracy under complex working conditions. The study provided a reliable technical support for the realization of intelligent mine pressure monitoring and disaster forewarning.
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1 ] 刘 峰,曹文君,张建明,等. 我国煤炭工业科技创新进展及“十四五”发展方向[ J ]. 煤炭学报,2021,46( 1 ):1 - 15.
[ 2 ] 芦盛亮,黄 磊,徐 宁,等. 工作面超前采动影响强矿压
预测及防控研究[ J ]. 煤炭技术,2024,43( 12 ):56 - 61.
[ 3 ] 尹希文,徐 刚,刘前进,等. 基于支架载荷的矿压双周期分析预测方法[ J ]. 煤炭学报,2021,46( 10 ):3 116 -
3 126.
[ 4 ] 曾庆田,吕珍珍,石永奎,等. 基于Prophet+LSTM模型的煤矿井下工作面矿压预测研究[ J ]. 煤炭科学技术,2021,49( 7 ):16 - 23.
[ 5 ] 邓彦辉,武文君,向喜伟,等. 基于CNN-BiLSTM的倾斜厚煤层矿压预测方法研究[ J ]. 煤炭技术,2025,44( 7 ):50 - 53.
[ 6 ] 付 翔,贾一帆,张小强,等. 智能综采工作面时空区域来压事件动态预报方法[J/OL]. 煤炭学报,1 - 14[2026 - 01 - 07].
[ 7 ] 李兵磊,远彦威,曹洋兵,等. 冲击载荷下灰岩的动力学特性及能量耗散规律[ J ]. 金属矿山,2021( 8 ):61 - 66.
[ 8 ] Sherstinsky A. Fundamentals of recurrent neural network (RNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) network[ J ]. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 2020, 404: 132306.
[ 9 ] Beck M, Poppel K, Spanring M, 等. xLSTM: Extended long short-
term memory[ J ].
[ 10 ] Vaswani A, Shazeer N, Parmar N, 等. Attention is all you need[ M ]. arXiv, 2023.
[ 11 ] Li S, Jin X, Xuan Y, 等. Enhancing the locality and breaking the memory bottleneck of transformer on time series forecasting[ M ]. arXiv, 2020.
[ 12 ] Zhou H, Zhang S, Peng J, 等. Informer: Beyond efficient transfor-
mer for long sequence time-series forecasting[ J ]. Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 2021, 35( 12 ): 11 106 - 11 115.
[ 13 ] 钱鸣高,石平五,许家林. 矿山压力与岩层控制[ M ]. 徐州:中国矿业大学出版社,2010. |
|
|
|